This weekend, we have an 11-fight card at Greenville, South Carolina. DraftKings has some adequate competitions for us to win a great deal of cash from this week. The main GPP is a $15 buy-in and $25k belongs to 1st place with a total of $120k being paid out. In addition they possess a Qualifier only contest for $175,000. There will be 100 qualifiers for that competition and they will compete for a $50k first location price and that $175k will be spread out between all 100 admissions that qualify. I will attempt to receive my 3rd seat this week to maximum it if I could. Those Qualifier only contests can be real bankroll suckers, so be cautious chasing those too hard. I will likely stick to the top GPP this week and then throw a handful of entries at the $30k prize, then I will likely have a few shots in the Q. I will also be publishing H2Hs as well as picking up H2Hs through the week to get a fantastic amount of drama into money games.
With that said, let us get to a few plays I enjoy this week along with my fade of the week:
Cash Game play of the week — Main Event STACK — Renato Moicano and Chan Sung Jung
For me, this is a simple stack in money week. I believe we easily have a floor of 100 with Renato Moicano and The Korean Zombie with upside of ~150. Additionally, it assures us the winner. As I have mentioned many times in the past, we don’t need 6 wins in cash games, so play with those type of games all you’ve got to do is conquer half the field. Usually 4 wins or 400+ points is good enough to cash in the majority of cash games. Even if you’ve got a strong lean on this fight I recommend stacking.
GPP drama of this week — Jairzinho Rozenstruik — $9,000
Rozenstruik has the highest ITD lineup on the card at -140 and he can hit 100+ DK points by getting that in around 1. The worry here would be him on his back in around 1 and then scoring zero points through that and then going out and obtaining a KO in round 2. Or no KO in any way. Both of these would take him away the optimal lineup so we need this struggle to keep standing and ideally an early KO. I believe that’s very possible and he’ll be a core GPP play of mine this week. He isn’t the greatest money game play however because he can be put on his back and be stuck there and possibly even lose the fight that way. I’m OK with him in cash, but I won’t be making that a priority like I’m being obese in GPPs.
Underdog play of this week — Anderson Dos Santos — $7,900
This betting line is all about pickem’ with a small lean towards Dos Santos. However, Ewell is your favorite on DraftKings and is $400 more than ADS. Ewell is also the striker so that he to score tremendously he is likely going to need a finish. His weakness is Anderson Dos Santos’ strength however. Ewell has difficulty staying off his spine and if ADS can put him he could possibly submit him. Or he could rack up multiple takedowns for a high decision rating. I enjoy the value we are getting on him $7.9k and I like he should be seeking to grapple in this fight. That’s the reason why I had to select him as my dog of this week.
Fade of this week — Syuri Kondo $8,000
There aren’t any real simple fades this week. I do have a complete fade on Kondo however because she looks to be purely a striker and I believe Ashely Yoder’s greatest path to victory is through grappling. If Kondo isn’t at a striking match for 15-minutes I don’t see how she scores tremendously unless she receives a finish. I really don’t think she’s KO power, therefore I believe it’s purely the substantial strikes and the triumph bonus that we’d be relying on here. I would rather have a fighter with more of a opportunity to complete or who is more inclined to grapple. That’s exactly why Kondo is my fade of this week.
Thanks for reading this and decent luck this weekend! If you would like my own full-card breakdown at which I breakdown every fight about the card and provide my full DraftKings analysis, as well as all of my pick predictions, then you’ll find that for just $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium bets are offered at that link as well. I am 81-51 for +251.89un (+$25,189) because May 19th, 2018 on Premium Plays)
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